Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 88.756568 99.005747 109.476807 120.944353 133.120120 145.633741 159.438051
2024-12-29 73.610494 88.435098 104.232618 122.198697 141.947083 162.884040 186.650896
2025-01-05 65.129190 82.657180 101.912178 124.388913 149.671680 177.016874 208.616774
2025-01-12 56.673355 75.805674 97.431714 123.280680 152.953399 185.602065 223.900424
2025-01-19 48.889550 68.903571 92.165188 120.597739 153.851883 191.010156 235.178832
2025-01-26 45.886727 67.359010 92.853321 124.538019 162.103477 204.544763 255.465008
2025-02-02 42.766631 65.352290 92.730014 127.297610 168.804150 216.175446 273.492657
2025-02-09 38.172764 61.103464 89.562025 126.130171 170.649471 222.014324 284.722410
2025-02-16 34.111795 57.220992 86.579021 124.948205 172.276000 227.438307 295.341238
2025-02-23 31.420553 54.952676 85.466576 125.929801 176.393686 235.709006 309.221500
2025-03-02 28.562703 52.233747 83.596382 125.811254 179.050493 242.157643 320.897298
2025-03-09 26.416014 50.351679 82.695737 126.817487 183.011150 250.110929 334.319533
2025-03-16 23.592075 47.312650 80.136194 125.623053 184.219655 254.780048 343.917745
2025-03-23 22.008880 46.004480 79.846607 127.328050 189.035184 263.820470 358.768817
2025-03-30 20.721050 45.043942 79.961720 129.509272 194.415938 273.532951 374.428385
2025-04-06 18.521079 42.470018 77.677741 128.383014 195.493510 277.902232 383.591199
2025-04-13 16.060032 39.248318 74.296535 125.630763 194.360640 279.448803 389.252514
2025-04-20 15.666505 39.461362 75.894665 129.670682 202.044938 291.972212 408.340676
2025-04-27 14.981105 39.113781 76.629364 132.499140 208.140865 302.519726 425.031168
2025-05-04 13.339026 36.936085 74.526574 131.302630 208.890054 306.321961 433.406849
2025-05-11 11.838033 34.864117 72.475733 130.091118 209.551844 309.966022 441.554121
2025-05-18 10.950168 33.860713 72.017460 131.097258 213.140167 317.303243 454.275867
2025-05-25 9.895052 32.425996 70.810563 130.975751 215.178423 322.645804 464.508741